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#6790
I can't believe the ref gave that decision?

The league are biased against us. We could have won the title if not for so many bad calls.

If we didn't have bad luck, we'd have no luck at all!
Sound familiar? It's the refrain of every single football fan at some time or other.

Oh, and you can forget that silly cliché that decisions even themselves out over the course of a season. We know that's not the case. In fact, you can work it out for yourself by simply flipping a coin: the more times you flip, the less likely it is that you will get an equal number of heads and tails.

Likewise, on the pitch, every time there is an error it can be in your favour or against you. (Of course, football supporters usually only see the bad luck that goes against them -- sort of the opposite of rose-tinted glasses. Goes for the managers, too.)

But how much does luck -- good and bad -- really play a part? To find out, we devised and created a study, along with our friends at the University of Bath, to find out the degree to which luck and refereeing decisions impacted the 2017-18 Premier League season. After the numbers were crunched (check out our page for more on the results, alternative table and methodology) the Luck Index was born, along with an alternative Premier League table.

The headline result? Manchester United were the most fortunate side, gaining six additional points, while Liverpool were the unluckiest: strip out the effects of luck and Jurgen Klopp's crew would have had an extra 12 points, enough to finish second ... and above arch-rival United. Arsenal, too, were somewhat hard done by as the Luck Index suggests they should have had an additional eight points.

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